Pakistan's Evolving Relations with the Taliban Amid TTP Threat
The situation between Pakistan and the Taliban has evolved significantly since the Taliban regained control of Afghanistan over three years ago. Initially, Pakistan believed this would stabilize its border with Afghanistan, but instead, the Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) grew stronger and more active, escalating cross-border attacks. Despite multiple rounds of talks, the Taliban did not take decisive action against the TTP, leading Pakistan to adopt a tougher stance, including airstrikes on TTP positions. Tensions have risen, especially after a deadly TTP attack on Pakistani security forces. Efforts to renew diplomatic relations have been complicated by these clashes, but both sides seem eager to avoid a complete breakdown in relations. Pakistan aims to balance coercive measures with diplomatic engagement and economic cooperation while signaling that further attacks from Afghanistan will not be tolerated.
- Pakistan initially hoped for stability at its border with Afghanistan under Taliban rule.
- The TTP has increased its activities, posing a significant security threat to Pakistan.
- Diplomatic efforts have resumed, but tensions remain high due to recent armed clashes and airstrikes.
- Pakistan is pursuing a dual strategy of incentives and disincentives to address security concerns with the Taliban.
What was Pakistan's initial expectation regarding the Taliban's return to power?
Pakistan initially expected that the Taliban's return would stabilize the border with Afghanistan and alleviate security concerns related to cross-border terrorism.
How has the TTP's strength changed since the Taliban took control?
Since the Taliban's takeover, the TTP has reorganized and revitalized, becoming the largest terrorist group in Afghanistan with an estimated 6,000-6,500 fighters, significantly increasing cross-border attacks.
What actions has Pakistan taken in response to the TTP's activities?
Pakistan has adopted a tougher stance, including unannounced airstrikes on TTP positions in Afghanistan, while also engaging in diplomatic talks to resolve tensions and enhance economic cooperation.